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about

We, or at least enough of us to turn democracies into autocracies, seem to be hard-wired to show deference to the most confident in society. As long as the risks for the lack of competence are borne by others more than by the overconfident individual, this sets up a flawed system in which it is inherently in the short term interest of the individual to appear more confident than is warranted by their abilities. This however is to the long-term detriment of everyone else.

Awareness of our cognitive weaknesses alone won't solve these problems, but I think it is an important first step. Toxic certainty should be challenged rather than celebrated.

"The chicken noticed that the farmer came every day to feed it. It predicted that the farmer would continue to bring food every day... Then one day the farmer came and wrung the chicken's neck." - Bertrand Russell

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning-Kruger_effect

lyrics

Deep inside there’s a flaw
That draws us towards the worst in us
The worst of us

It amplifies the certain
The confident and cruel
While the quiet and the grown up are ignored

We’re quick to fall for
The confidence trick
To fool ourselves
To let ourselves be used
We’ve fallen once again
For the confidence trick
And we never learn
We never learn

We’re so quick, to lose ourselves to the confidence trick
We want to believe
We’re happy to be deceived
We sell ourselves for nothing
To the oldest trick
The confident incompetent
Narcissistic slaughter-men rise

We fool ourselves that this can go on forever
Keep trying to believe all the way to the slaughterhouse door
The fool ourselves, the willing mark, for the confidence trick
And we never seem to learn, we never learn
We rush to throw ourselves under the boot of the confidence trick
And we never seem to learn, we never learn, we never learn

credits

from The Confidence Trick, released July 15, 2022
Lyrics - Malcolm Galloway
Music written and performed by Malcolm Galloway/Mark Gatland
Lead guitar - Malcolm Galloway
Produced by Malcolm Galloway/Mark Gatland

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Hats Off Gentlemen It's Adequate London, UK

London based Hats Off Gentlemen It's Adequate are Malcolm Galloway and Mark Gatland on their own or with Kathryn Thomas.

They combine prog/alt-rock, classical, minimalist, and electronic elements. The often explore scientific, sci-fi, and historical themes.

Hard Rock Hell magazine -'unlikely stars who stole the show’

Recommended by Steve Hackett

Beastie's Rock Show Album Of TY
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